Fallacies
Essay by review • November 23, 2010 • Essay • 470 Words (2 Pages) • 1,182 Views
1. Challenge the design argument?
I feel that order existed without any reasoning and merely it just occurred by chance. I know that it is enormously improbable that an event occurred by chance, by itself, but this definitely does not gives us any reason to think that it occurred by design or designer. It's like the probability of someone winning a lottery is one in million or even billion yet the person who wins it has no explanation and wins it by luck/chance. I feel that everything does not have to have an explanation or cause. Another example is the tsunami baby and how he survived such an unexpected disaster and no one has any explain for that. A quote from the internet somewhat supporting my challenge. Suppose we flip a fair coin 1000 times and record the results in succession. The probability of getting the particular outcome is vanishingly small. But it is clear that the mere fact that such a sequence is so unlikely, by itself, does not give us any reason to think that it was the result of intelligent design.
2. Well I feel that this is not a strong argument because I believe that order was created by god and plus it has no strong evidence to why order might exist without a designer but just merely by chance.
3. What premise does the lottery fallacy challenge?
It challenges the 2nd premise which quotes "order requires a designer". Well it is trying to say that just because there is no reason as to why order does not require a designer does not give us any knowledge to believe that there was a designer. It's like saying I did not win the lottery and someone else might have won it. This is clearly wrong as we all know that sometimes there are no winners for some lottery draws.
4. My current knowledge at this point certainly agrees slightly with the lottery fallacy but saying that it is strong is improbable. On a scale from 1-10 and 10 being strong I would give it a 3 or 4.
5. What happened?
Well first of all I don't think anyone guessed both the numbers right. This is just a lucky guess. For it to have any meaning of a person with psychic or any sort of sixth sense, the person should at least guess like 20 numbers right cause being lucky 20 times is definitely unlikely
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